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The Missouri StOCK
MARKET GAME™ INVESTMENT RESEARCH PROJECT GUIDELINES
The Missouri SMG™ Investment Research Project
competition begins at the regional level and progresses to the state
level, where each 1st place regional entry will be judged
by a panel to include members of the securities industry and the
economic education community. Students are encouraged, individually or
in teams, to analyze the economy, research the securities market, and
examine the question of "what makes a successful company?"
There contest is free of charge. All entrants
must be participating in the current session of the SMG.
- Objectives
- The Missouri SMG™ Investment Research Project
will enable the participants to:
- Demonstrate knowledge and understanding of the basic economic
concepts related to stock markets.
- Demonstrate proficiency in the use of decision-making and
reasoning skills.
- Competition Guidelines
Students must report on a stock in their current Missouri SMG™ portfolio.
- An individual or a Missouri SMG™ team of five or
less students may submit entries.
- All entries must include:
- A completed entry form (attached)
- Original essay
- Visual Aid (for example, but not limited too: a Display board,
art project, scrapbook, and/or a Microsoft Power Point
presentation).
- Procedure
- The enclosed entry form must be submitted for each entry, filled
out in its entirety.
- A Missouri SMG™ Teacher / Advisors may submit their
best projects to the Program Director
for judging in their regional competition. Winning projects will
then be forwarded to the state competition for judging.
- The judges’ decision at the regional and state levels is
final.
4. Awards
Regional and State recognition will be given at the Missouri SMG™ banquet in the spring.
- Recognition will be given in each category:
- State 1st Place Elementary/ Middle School
- State 1st Place Secondary
- Deadlines
All completed entries in the Spring 2008 Missouri SMG™ Investment Research Project
must be
postmarked by Monday, April 7, 2008
entries after this date will not be considered.
Mark Gravenstein, Program Director
Missouri Council on Economic Education
Manheim Hall, # 104 H
5100 Rockhill Road
Kansas City, Missouri 64110
The Missouri SMG™ INVESTMENT RESEARCH PROJECT
ENTRY FORM
Team Members Writing This
Report:______________________________________
Team Number:
_______________________________________________________
Region:
_____________________________________________________________
School Name:
_______________________________________________________
Teacher’s Name:
_____________________________________________________
Date:
_______________________________________________________________
Pick a Company’s Stock
You may choose any stock listed on the New York Stock
Exchange (NYSE), American Stock Exchange (AMEX), or NASDAQ market that
is currently in your SMG™ portfolio. (No Mutual Funds Please.) You might want to
choose a company you are already familiar with. Do you have a favorite
store, food, or restaurant? Which companies produce the entertainment
you like? What products are popular today? You can find most of the
information you need at an Internet site or on a newspaper financial
page.
Company Name:
_____________________________________________________________
Industry:
___________________________________________________________________
Products and Services:
_______________________________________________________
Company Ticker:
____________________________________________________________
Exchange where Stock is Listed:
_______________________________________________
What was the stock’s price when you bought it?
_______________ Date ____________
What is the stock’s price now? ____________________________
Date_____________
What was the stock’s P/E ratio when you bought it?
___________
Date_____________
What was the 52-week high for the stock? ___________________
Date_____________
What was the 52-week low for the stock? ____________________
Date_____________
Economic Outlook
Briefly describe what you think will be the state of the economy a
year from now. Why do you think this? (Comment on inflation,
unemployment, and economic growth.
_________________________________________________________________
_________________________________________________________________
_________________________________________________________________
_________________________________________________________________
How do you feel the economy will affect your company?
_________________________________________________________________
_________________________________________________________________
_________________________________________________________________
Market Outlook
- What do you feel is the direction of the stock market for the
next year? Why do you think this?
_________________________________________________________________
_________________________________________________________________
_________________________________________________________________
- How will the market outlook affect the price of your stock?
_________________________________________________________________
_________________________________________________________________
_________________________________________________________________
_________________________________________________________________
Industry and Firm Outlook
Using the company’s annual report, Value Line, Standard &
Poor's, and/or numerous on-line sources, answer these question.
- What is the current P/E ratio? _________ How does this compare
to the P/E’s of other firms in the industry?
_______________________________How does this compare to the
P/E’s of other firms on this
exchange?_______________________________________________________________
- What are the earnings per share of stock?
________________________________
- What is the annual rate of growth of earnings per share for the
last year? _____%, For the last five years? _______%
- What is the return on shareholder’s equity? _________ How does
this compare with the return on equity of other firms in this
industry? _____________________________
How does this compare with the return on equity of other firms on
this exchange?
__________________________________________________________________ __________________________________________________________________
- What is the long-term debt as a percentage of shareholder’s
equity? _______________
How does this compare to other firms in the industry?
___________________________ Is this a dangerous level of debt? __________________ Why or why
not? ___________ ______________________________________________________________________ ______________________________________________________________________
______________________________________________________________________
What It All Means
What are the main reasons for buying shares in this company?
____________________ _________________________________________________________________Why do you think shares in this company will increase more rapidly
than other stocks you could buy?
_____________________________________________________________________________
___________________________________________________What could go wrong with this decision? What factors might cause
the shares of the company not perform as you predicted?
_______________________________________________________________________________
In Conclusion
Based on the information you have gathered, write a brief essay
(not more than one single-spaced typed page) on whether or not you
would purchase this stock for the short run (less than one year) or
the long run (more than one year). A good essay must consider the data
you have compiled in earlier sections.
The Missouri STOCK MARKET GAME™ INVESTMENT RESEARCH PROJECT
FOR TEACHERS ONLY
The SMG™ Program is a motivating approach to learning the basics of
saving and investing. It provides a framework for teaching about the
American economy.
Although the school calendar limits the duration of the SMG™
Program, it serves as a tool to spark a broader interest in how our
economy works and how to choose good investments. A good economic
education program must focus on sound long-term investing. A long-term
perspective allows investors to stay on course even when financial
markets are declining. Research shows long-term stock investors
consistently outperform short-term traders. Stocks have outperformed
all other investment over the long run.
To be successful at investing, students must learn to choose
successful companies in a variety of economic and market conditions.
This involves much more than following short-term price movements and
the latest investment trends. We must teach students the knowledge and
skills to investigate companies before they invest in their common
stocks.
The Missouri SMG™ Investment Research
Project helps students learn how to analyze the economy, research the
securities markets, and determine what to look for in a successful
company. Students develop sound strategies that they can use in choose
future investments. The winning entries are judged on the student’s
level of analysis, not on the short-term performance of the stock that
they are analyzing.
Getting Started: It is Easier Than You Think
Teaching students how to research a company is easy, and the
resources are at your fingertips. Your most important resource is Learning
from the Market (National Council on Economic Education, 1997).
Call the National Council on Economic Education at 1-800-338-1192 for
more information. It’s inexpensive. Lessons from this publication
prepare your students for the SMG™ Investment Research Project.
Students will need additional resources to obtain current data on
companies as well as past performance of these companies. These
resources are readily available at public libraries, from
stockbrokers, and on the Internet. Registered SMG™ teachers
may download lesson plans from our web site at
www.stockmarketgame.org
Here are the teaching resources and tips for each section of the
SMG™ Investment Research Project.
Pick a Company’s Stock
Lesson 14, "How to choose a stock," Learning from the
Market, pages 145-160, prepares students for this section of the
project. Students should buy what they know. In addition, they should
consider current and future markets trends, economic cycles, and
investment risks, the videotape
Stock Market Adventure, available from your SMG™ Coordinator,
also illustrates principles for selecting stocks.
Most of the data needed for this section of the SMG™ Investment
Research project can be obtained from a daily newspaper’s stock
pages or from links on the SMG™ website.
Economic Outlook
Lesson 23, "Business Cycles and the Stock Market," Learning
from the Market, pages 257-266, prepares students for this
section. This lesson demonstrates how market averages can change as
stock buyers anticipate changes in the economy. It relates the
business cycle to stock prices. There are two straightforward
questions in this section, and the students should keep their answer
simple.
Market Outlook
One reason why long-term investors outperform short-term traders is
that market is that market conditions are hard to predict. God created
market forecasters to make weather forecasters look good.
Nevertheless, domestic and international events can change stock
prices in general as well as the price of a particular stock. The
succinctly-titled Lesson 24, (How do domestic and International Events
Influence the Buying and Selling of Stocks?" Learning from the
Market, pages 236-250, illustrates how events change the demand
for a stock and the various stock market averages.
Industry and Firm Outlook
Picking a company you know is the first step to successful
investing. However, people may be lined up to buy a company’s
products or services, but the company could be mismanaged. When
students buy a corporation common stock, they are buying part of the
company. People own stock in a corporation to share in the profits so
certainty and growth of profits is the key to sound analysis. Good
stock pickers must crunch some numbers.
Lesson 20, "How Do Businesses Obtain Financing," Learning
from the Market, pages 223-230, and Lesson 21, "How to Read
an Annual Report," Learning from the Market, pages
236-250, prepare students for this section. These lessons
contain detailed explanations of the ratios in this section of the
research project and also provide an interpretation of the meaning of
these ratios.
All of the data needed for this section can be obtained from a
corporation’s annual report, which is required for any public
corporation. Students should skim the glossy pages, which can be
interesting but useless. It is the consolidated balance sheet,
consolidated income statement, and multiyear financial summary where
the important information is found. Of course, the current P/E ratio
can be found in the newspaper.
Comparing a firm to the industry involves going beyond the annual
report. However, there are many sources for this information,
including Standard & Poor’s Reports and the Value Line
Investment Survey. Here are some other useful research resources:
IRIN (Investor Relations Information Network)
www.irin.com
Access to annual reports and SEC documents on-line for free. You
can view the documents exactly as they appear in printed form.
Stock on Call
1-800-578-7888
Instant access to full-text news releases of about 4000 public
companies faxed to you free.
Standard & Poor’s Stock Reports
Written reports can be obtained from a stockbroker or public
library. The S&P reports and much more are available on the
Standard & Poor’s Personal Wealth Web Site at
www.standardpoor.com.
Value Line Investment Survey
1-800-833-0046
Classifies 3500 stocks by industry. Updated quarterly. Historical
information for each stock is provided on one page of data in the form
of a technical chart and table, supplemented by an updated editorial
by a Value Line analyst who ranks each stock for its timeliness. Also
provides the names, addresses, and phone numbers of key officers. Each
section begins with a Value Line analyst’s industry summary and
outlook. The Value Line Investment Survey is available in most
libraries.
The Wall Street Journal’s Annual Report Service
1-800-654-2582
For companies in the Wall Street Journal "Money and
Investing" section with a club symbol next to their names. Free
annual reports and, if available, quarterly reports by mail. Call
1-800-965-5679 to fax a request.
What It All Means
This section calls on student’s analytical skills. Lessons 20 and
21 are useful here, and so are the power of observation and common
sense.
In Conclusion
This section is critical to a successful research project. The
students should write the essay as if they were research analysts.
What are the costs and benefits of purchasing stock in this
corporation? Are the economic conditions favorable or unfavorable for
this corporation? Is this a strong company in a strong industry? Would
students recommend the common stock of this company for the short
term, the long term, or both? A good essay should utilize information
from earlier sections and even expand upon it. A good essay will
inform the reader of the quality of the company and make clear the
criteria and information on which the stock is recommended or not
recommended. |